MindVault

The Base Rate Fallacy

The cost of information precision

Apr 30 • 

Phil Hagspiel

7

January 2025

Parkinson's Law

How Resources Create Their Own Demand

Jan 17 • 

Phil Hagspiel

4

Signal vs. Noise

Finding Truth in Chaos

Jan 6 • 

Phil Hagspiel

6

December 2024

The Dunning-Kruger Effect

How Incompetence Breeds Overconfidence

Dec 23, 2024 • 

Phil Hagspiel

4

Antifragility: Thriving on Chaos

Thriving on chaos.

Dec 10, 2024 • 

Phil Hagspiel

4

Regression To The Mean

The one phenomenon no one truly understands

Dec 5, 2024 • 

Phil Hagspiel

5

November 2024

The Streetlight Effect

Don't Search Only Where the Light Is

Nov 7, 2024 • 

Phil Hagspiel

3

October 2024

Emergence

“If you wish to make an apple pie from scratch, you must first invent the universe.”

Oct 17, 2024 • 

Phil Hagspiel

3

September 2024

Ergodicity: The Most Mysterious Concept

Nassim Nicholas Taleb, the author of The Black Swan, Fooled by Randomness, and Antifragile, popularized a term that's both crucial to understand and…

Sep 27, 2024 • 

Phil Hagspiel

3

Consider the Ripples: Higher Order Consequences

"When we try to pick out anything by itself, we find it hitched to everything else in the Universe."

Sep 11, 2024 • 

Phil Hagspiel

4

2

August 2024

Fault vs. Responsibility

A major mindset change can be this: thinking less about fault and more about responsibility.

Aug 30, 2024 • 

Phil Hagspiel

5

1

Hindsight Bias

We too often judge our past decisions with the clarity we have now, instead of the uncertainty we faced then.

Aug 9, 2024 • 

Phil Hagspiel

3