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The Base Rate Fallacy
The cost of information precision
Apr 30
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Phil Hagspiel
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The Base Rate Fallacy
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Parkinson's Law
How Resources Create Their Own Demand
Jan 17
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Phil Hagspiel
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Parkinson's Law
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Signal vs. Noise
Finding Truth in Chaos
Jan 6
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Phil Hagspiel
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Signal vs. Noise
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The Control-Concern-Focus Principle
Sep 22, 2022
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Phil Hagspiel
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The Control-Concern-Focus Principle
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The Map Is Not The Territory
Mar 13, 2023
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Phil Hagspiel
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The Map Is Not The Territory
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3 Hidden Thinking Flaws
Feb 6, 2023
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Phil Hagspiel
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3 Hidden Thinking Flaws
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Bayesian Thinking
Feb 20, 2023
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Phil Hagspiel
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Bayesian Thinking
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Occam's Razor
May 2, 2023
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Phil Hagspiel
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Occam's Razor
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Six Pillars of A Good Life
Jan 21, 2021
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Phil Hagspiel
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Six Pillars of A Good Life
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The Dunning-Kruger Effect
How Incompetence Breeds Overconfidence
Dec 23, 2024
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Phil Hagspiel
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The Dunning-Kruger Effect
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Antifragility: Thriving on Chaos
Thriving on chaos.
Dec 10, 2024
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Phil Hagspiel
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Antifragility: Thriving on Chaos
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Regression To The Mean
The one phenomenon no one truly understands
Dec 5, 2024
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Phil Hagspiel
4
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Regression To The Mean
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The Streetlight Effect
Don't Search Only Where the Light Is
Nov 7, 2024
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Phil Hagspiel
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The Streetlight Effect
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Emergence
“If you wish to make an apple pie from scratch, you must first invent the universe.”
Oct 17, 2024
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Phil Hagspiel
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Emergence
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Ergodicity: The Most Mysterious Concept
Nassim Nicholas Taleb, the author of The Black Swan, Fooled by Randomness, and Antifragile, popularized a term that's both crucial to understand and…
Sep 27, 2024
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Phil Hagspiel
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Ergodicity: The Most Mysterious Concept
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Consider the Ripples: Higher Order Consequences
"When we try to pick out anything by itself, we find it hitched to everything else in the Universe."
Sep 11, 2024
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Phil Hagspiel
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Consider the Ripples: Higher Order Consequences
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