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The Base Rate Fallacy
The cost of information precision
Apr 30
•
Phil Hagspiel
7
Parkinson's Law
How Resources Create Their Own Demand
Jan 17
•
Phil Hagspiel
4
Signal vs. Noise
Finding Truth in Chaos
Jan 6
•
Phil Hagspiel
6
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The Control-Concern-Focus Principle
Sep 22, 2022
•
Phil Hagspiel
15
The Map Is Not The Territory
Mar 13, 2023
•
Phil Hagspiel
10
2
3 Hidden Thinking Flaws
Feb 6, 2023
•
Phil Hagspiel
9
Bayesian Thinking
Feb 20, 2023
•
Phil Hagspiel
7
Occam's Razor
May 2, 2023
•
Phil Hagspiel
8
Six Pillars of A Good Life
Jan 21, 2021
•
Phil Hagspiel
7
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The Dunning-Kruger Effect
How Incompetence Breeds Overconfidence
Dec 23, 2024
•
Phil Hagspiel
4
Antifragility: Thriving on Chaos
Thriving on chaos.
Dec 10, 2024
•
Phil Hagspiel
4
Regression To The Mean
The one phenomenon no one truly understands
Dec 5, 2024
•
Phil Hagspiel
5
The Streetlight Effect
Don't Search Only Where the Light Is
Nov 7, 2024
•
Phil Hagspiel
3
Emergence
“If you wish to make an apple pie from scratch, you must first invent the universe.”
Oct 17, 2024
•
Phil Hagspiel
3
Ergodicity: The Most Mysterious Concept
Nassim Nicholas Taleb, the author of The Black Swan, Fooled by Randomness, and Antifragile, popularized a term that's both crucial to understand and…
Sep 27, 2024
•
Phil Hagspiel
3
Consider the Ripples: Higher Order Consequences
"When we try to pick out anything by itself, we find it hitched to everything else in the Universe."
Sep 11, 2024
•
Phil Hagspiel
4
2
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